← Regionals @ The Banish Zone 2/28
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Regionals @ The Banish Zone 2/28
decks
5
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
35
16-16-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
48.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1283
· median 1298
· range 1159–1382
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1054
Q1 1246
Q3 1419
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Allies | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -1.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.5% | -11.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.6% | +14.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -3.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +3.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.5 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.3% | +6.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.5% | +17.8 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
